Fantasy Forecaster: March 11-24
By Neil Tardy | Special to ESPN.com
With head-to-head league playoffs starting in many ESPN.com leagues, this edition of the NBA Fantasy Forecaster again will look beyond the next seven days. With this playoff format, matchups extend over a two-week period in each round.
What's nice about this is that it evens things out as far as the schedule. Consider that in the next two weeks, 21 of the 30 NBA teams play seven or eight games. Eight teams play six games, while one team -- the Los Angeles Clippers -- has a league-low five games.
Here's a quick primer covering the 11 teams that play eight times in Weeks 20-21:
Atlanta Hawks
Schedule: @MIA, LAL, PHX, @BKN, DAL, MIL, POR, @MIL
Potential help: Devin Harris (rostered in 6.4 percent of ESPN.com leagues); Kyle Korver (74.3 percent rostered)
It's a stretch to say Harris is viable in any fantasy format, but he is averaging 1.7 3-pointers -- along with 11.7 points, 3.3 assists and 1.1 steals -- since the All-Star break.
Dallas Mavericks
Schedule: @MIL, @SA, CLE, OKC, @ATL, BKN, BOS, UTA
Potential help: Vince Carter (rostered in 57.1 percent of ESPN.com leagues); Mike James (0 percent rostered)
Yes, really, Mike James. Well, perhaps James. The 37-year-old made his first NBA start in almost four years this week, essentially splitting playing time with Darren Collison. James finished with eight points, six assists and a pair of 3s in 25 minutes against the Houston Rockets on March 6. Will he keep getting minutes? It's possible, if only because Mavs coach Rick Carlisle seems perpetually perturbed with Collison.
Memphis Grizzlies
Schedule: @POR, @LAC, @DEN, @UTA, MIN, OKC, @NO, BOS
Potential help: Tony Allen (rostered in 24.5 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
Zach Randolph has missed the past two games with a sprained ankle, and he seems iffy for this weekend. It's possible he'll sit out into next week.
Miami Heat
Schedule: ATL, @PHI, @MIL, @TOR, @BOS, @CLE, DET, CHA)
Potential help: Shane Battier (rostered in 1.7 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
Since the break, Battier is actually making more 3s -- 2.8 per game -- than Ray Allen (2.3). Who knew if you put LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh on the same team, other guys would get never-ending uncontested looks from the perimeter?
Milwaukee Bucks
Schedule: DAL, @WSH, MIA, ORL, POR, @ATL, @IND, ATL
Potential help: Mike Dunleavy (rostered in 11.9 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
Even with J.J. Redick on board, Dunleavy is somehow managing to find minutes. In his past six games, he's averaging 10.3 points and 1.8 3s. Mavs, Heat and (of late) Orlando Magic opponents all pile up the triples, so Dunleavy could contribute in a deep league of at least 14 teams.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Schedule: SA, @IND, @HOU, NO, @MEM, @SAC, @PHX, CHI
Potential help: Luke Ridnour (rostered in 61.5 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
The latest word is that Kevin Love has a ways to go in his recovery. The target for his return is now late March. That takes him out of consideration for Weeks 20-21.
New York Knicks
Schedule: @GS, @DEN, @POR, @LAC, @UTA, ORL, @TOR, TOR
Potential help: Jason Kidd (rostered in 44.6 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
To me, Kidd is over-owned in ESPN.com leagues. In a head-to-head matchup, he doesn't excel in any category other than steals.
Oklahoma City Thunder
Schedule: @SA, UTA, ORL, @DAL, DEN, @MEM, @ORL, POR
Potential help: Thabo Sefolosha (rostered in 21.9 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
What I said about Kidd also applies to Sefolosha.
Phoenix Suns
Schedule: DEN, @HOU, @ATL, @WSH, LAL, WSH, MIN, BKN
Potential help: Jermaine O'Neal (rostered in 12.7 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
Again, you'll have to check for weekend updates on O'Neal. Thankfully, his daughter's surgery apparently went well, but O'Neal will remain away from the team at least through this weekend. Obviously with the Marcin Gortat injury, O'Neal could have broad fantasy value upon his return.
Portland Trail Blazers
Schedule: MEM, NY, DET, @PHI, @MIL, @CHI, @ATL, @OKC
Potential help: None
Five of these eight games come in Week 21 (March 18-24). We'll discuss the Blazers next week.
Washington Wizards
Schedule: @CLE, MIL, NO, PHX, @CHA, @PHX, @LAL, @GS
Potential help: Martell Webster (rostered in 9.0 percent of ESPN.com leagues); Trevor Ariza (28.1 percent rostered)
Bradley Beal's injured ankle is reportedly improving. Be sure to monitor his status this weekend.
[h=3]Week 20 at a Glance[/h]
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</TBODY>"R" matchup ratings are based upon a scale from 1 (poor matchup) to 10 (excellent matchup), and are calculated using a formula that evaluates the team's year-to-date and past 10 games' statistics, their opponents' numbers in those categories, and their performance in home/road games depending on where the game is to be played. The column to the right lists the team's total number of games scheduled ("G") as well as home games ("H"), and lists the overall rating from 1-10 for that team's weekly schedule ("R").
By Neil Tardy | Special to ESPN.com
With head-to-head league playoffs starting in many ESPN.com leagues, this edition of the NBA Fantasy Forecaster again will look beyond the next seven days. With this playoff format, matchups extend over a two-week period in each round.
What's nice about this is that it evens things out as far as the schedule. Consider that in the next two weeks, 21 of the 30 NBA teams play seven or eight games. Eight teams play six games, while one team -- the Los Angeles Clippers -- has a league-low five games.
Here's a quick primer covering the 11 teams that play eight times in Weeks 20-21:
Atlanta Hawks
Schedule: @MIA, LAL, PHX, @BKN, DAL, MIL, POR, @MIL
Potential help: Devin Harris (rostered in 6.4 percent of ESPN.com leagues); Kyle Korver (74.3 percent rostered)
It's a stretch to say Harris is viable in any fantasy format, but he is averaging 1.7 3-pointers -- along with 11.7 points, 3.3 assists and 1.1 steals -- since the All-Star break.
Dallas Mavericks
Schedule: @MIL, @SA, CLE, OKC, @ATL, BKN, BOS, UTA
Potential help: Vince Carter (rostered in 57.1 percent of ESPN.com leagues); Mike James (0 percent rostered)
Yes, really, Mike James. Well, perhaps James. The 37-year-old made his first NBA start in almost four years this week, essentially splitting playing time with Darren Collison. James finished with eight points, six assists and a pair of 3s in 25 minutes against the Houston Rockets on March 6. Will he keep getting minutes? It's possible, if only because Mavs coach Rick Carlisle seems perpetually perturbed with Collison.
Memphis Grizzlies
Schedule: @POR, @LAC, @DEN, @UTA, MIN, OKC, @NO, BOS
Potential help: Tony Allen (rostered in 24.5 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
Zach Randolph has missed the past two games with a sprained ankle, and he seems iffy for this weekend. It's possible he'll sit out into next week.
Miami Heat
Schedule: ATL, @PHI, @MIL, @TOR, @BOS, @CLE, DET, CHA)
Potential help: Shane Battier (rostered in 1.7 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
Since the break, Battier is actually making more 3s -- 2.8 per game -- than Ray Allen (2.3). Who knew if you put LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh on the same team, other guys would get never-ending uncontested looks from the perimeter?
Milwaukee Bucks
Schedule: DAL, @WSH, MIA, ORL, POR, @ATL, @IND, ATL
Potential help: Mike Dunleavy (rostered in 11.9 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
Even with J.J. Redick on board, Dunleavy is somehow managing to find minutes. In his past six games, he's averaging 10.3 points and 1.8 3s. Mavs, Heat and (of late) Orlando Magic opponents all pile up the triples, so Dunleavy could contribute in a deep league of at least 14 teams.
Minnesota Timberwolves
Schedule: SA, @IND, @HOU, NO, @MEM, @SAC, @PHX, CHI
Potential help: Luke Ridnour (rostered in 61.5 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
The latest word is that Kevin Love has a ways to go in his recovery. The target for his return is now late March. That takes him out of consideration for Weeks 20-21.
New York Knicks
Schedule: @GS, @DEN, @POR, @LAC, @UTA, ORL, @TOR, TOR
Potential help: Jason Kidd (rostered in 44.6 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
To me, Kidd is over-owned in ESPN.com leagues. In a head-to-head matchup, he doesn't excel in any category other than steals.
Oklahoma City Thunder
Schedule: @SA, UTA, ORL, @DAL, DEN, @MEM, @ORL, POR
Potential help: Thabo Sefolosha (rostered in 21.9 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
What I said about Kidd also applies to Sefolosha.
Phoenix Suns
Schedule: DEN, @HOU, @ATL, @WSH, LAL, WSH, MIN, BKN
Potential help: Jermaine O'Neal (rostered in 12.7 percent of ESPN.com leagues)
Again, you'll have to check for weekend updates on O'Neal. Thankfully, his daughter's surgery apparently went well, but O'Neal will remain away from the team at least through this weekend. Obviously with the Marcin Gortat injury, O'Neal could have broad fantasy value upon his return.
Portland Trail Blazers
Schedule: MEM, NY, DET, @PHI, @MIL, @CHI, @ATL, @OKC
Potential help: None
Five of these eight games come in Week 21 (March 18-24). We'll discuss the Blazers next week.
Washington Wizards
Schedule: @CLE, MIL, NO, PHX, @CHA, @PHX, @LAL, @GS
Potential help: Martell Webster (rostered in 9.0 percent of ESPN.com leagues); Trevor Ariza (28.1 percent rostered)
Bradley Beal's injured ankle is reportedly improving. Be sure to monitor his status this weekend.
[h=3]Week 20 at a Glance[/h]
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<CENTER> </CENTER> | Team | <CENTER>Mon 3/11 </CENTER> | <CENTER>Tue 3/12 </CENTER> | <CENTER>Wed 3/13 </CENTER> | <CENTER>Thu 3/14 </CENTER> | <CENTER>Fri 3/15 </CENTER> | <CENTER>Sat 3/16 </CENTER> | <CENTER>Sun 3/17 </CENTER> | <CENTER> </CENTER> |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta HAWKS | OFF | @MIA R: 3 | LAL R: 8 | OFF | PHX R: 8 | OFF | @BKN R: 2 | G: 4 H: 2 R: 7 |
| Boston CELTICS | OFF | @CHA R: 7 | TOR R: 5 | OFF | OFF | CHA R: 8 | OFF | G: 3 H: 2 R: 5 |
| Brooklyn NETS | @PHI R: 3 | NO R: 7 | OFF | OFF | OFF | OFF | ATL R: 6 | G: 3 H: 2 R: 4 |
| Charlotte BOBCATS | OFF | BOS R: 2 | OFF | OFF | @TOR R: 1 | @BOS R: 1 | OFF | G: 3 H: 1 R: 1 |
| Chicago BULLS | OFF | OFF | @SAC R: 8 | OFF | @GS R: 5 | OFF | OFF | G: 2 H: 0 R: 2 |
| Cleveland CAVALIERS | OFF | WSH R: 4 | OFF | OFF | @DAL R: 6 | @SA R: 3 | OFF | G: 3 H: 1 R: 3 |
| Dallas MAVERICKS | OFF | @MIL R: 5 | OFF | @SA R: 3 | CLE R: 10 | OFF | OKC R: 6 | G: 4 H: 2 R: 8 |
| Denver NUGGETS | @PHX R: 10 | OFF | NY R: 9 | OFF | MEM R: 7 | OFF | OFF | G: 3 H: 2 R: 7 |
| Detroit PISTONS | @UTA R: 3 | OFF | @GS R: 3 | OFF | OFF | @POR R: 3 | OFF | G: 3 H: 0 R: 3 |
| Golden State WARRIORS | NY R: 5 | OFF | DET R: 7 | OFF | CHI R: 4 | OFF | @HOU R: 7 | G: 4 H: 3 R: 8 |
| Houston ROCKETS | OFF | OFF | PHX R: 10 | OFF | MIN R: 10 | OFF | GS R: 10 | G: 3 H: 3 R: 8 |
| Indiana PACERS | OFF | OFF | MIN R: 8 | OFF | LAL R: 8 | @PHI R: 4 | OFF | G: 3 H: 2 R: 5 |
| Los Angeles CLIPPERS | OFF | OFF | MEM R: 6 | OFF | OFF | OFF | NY R: 8 | G: 2 H: 2 R: 2 |
| Los Angeles LAKERS | OFF | @ORL R: 6 | @ATL R: 6 | OFF | @IND R: 1 | OFF | SAC R: 10 | G: 4 H: 1 R: 8 |
| Memphis GRIZZLIES | OFF | @POR R: 6 | @LAC R: 3 | OFF | @DEN R: 6 | @UTA R: 5 | OFF | G: 4 H: 0 R: 7 |
| Miami HEAT | OFF | ATL R: 10 | @PHI R: 6 | OFF | @MIL R: 7 | OFF | @TOR R: 7 | G: 4 H: 1 R: 9 |
| Milwaukee BUCKS | OFF | DAL R: 8 | @WSH R: 4 | OFF | MIA R: 5 | OFF | ORL R: 6 | G: 4 H: 3 R: 8 |
| Minnesota TIMBERWOLVES | OFF | SA R: 3 | @IND R: 1 | OFF | @HOU R: 6 | OFF | NO R: 5 | G: 4 H: 2 R: 6 |
| New Orleans HORNETS | OFF | @BKN R: 3 | OFF | OFF | @WSH R: 3 | OFF | @MIN R: 5 | G: 3 H: 0 R: 3 |
| New York KNICKS | @GS R: 5 | OFF | @DEN R: 5 | @POR R: 5 | OFF | OFF | @LAC R: 2 | G: 4 H: 0 R: 7 |
| Oklahoma City THUNDER | @SA R: 8 | OFF | UTA R: 10 | OFF | ORL R: 10 | OFF | @DAL R: 10 | G: 4 H: 2 R: 10 |
| Orlando MAGIC | OFF | LAL R: 6 | OFF | OFF | @OKC R: 1 | OFF | @MIL R: 3 | G: 3 H: 1 R: 3 |
| Philadelphia 76ERS | BKN R: 2 | OFF | MIA R: 3 | OFF | OFF | IND R: 1 | OFF | G: 3 H: 3 R: 2 |
| Phoenix SUNS | DEN R: 5 | OFF | @HOU R: 6 | OFF | @ATL R: 4 | @WSH R: 3 | OFF | G: 4 H: 1 R: 7 |
| Portland TRAIL BLAZERS | OFF | MEM R: 1 | OFF | NY R: 4 | OFF | DET R: 6 | OFF | G: 3 H: 3 R: 3 |
| Sacramento KINGS | OFF | OFF | CHI R: 4 | OFF | OFF | OFF | @LAL R: 4 | G: 2 H: 1 R: 1 |
| San Antonio SPURS | OKC R: 8 | @MIN R: 8 | OFF | DAL R: 10 | OFF | CLE R: 10 | OFF | G: 4 H: 3 R: 10 |
| Toronto RAPTORS | OFF | OFF | @BOS R: 3 | OFF | CHA R: 8 | OFF | MIA R: 3 | G: 3 H: 2 R: 4 |
| Utah JAZZ | DET R: 8 | OFF | @OKC R: 5 | OFF | OFF | MEM R: 4 | OFF | G: 3 H: 2 R: 4 |
| Washington WIZARDS | OFF | @CLE R: 4 | MIL R: 5 | OFF | NO R: 5 | PHX R: 5 | OFF | G: 4 H: 3 R: 7 |
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<CENTER>Ratings color scale </CENTER> |
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